The fallacies between us

The ancient Greeks relied heavily on logic for their research (though it’s a common but entirely false misconception that they prized it above observational evidence – discoveries like the antikithera device proves a level of engineering skill that could not have come without actually studying how things really worked sometimes) and very soon came to realize that what feels logical sometimes isn’t.

This led to what many consider their single most important contribution to human knowledge – they were the first to quantify logic, and draw up rules by which arguments could be studied to determine their validity. Aristotle’s six laws of deductive logic remains to this day the cornerstone of any philosophy course on logic and critical thinking.
It didn’t stop there though, as time progressed we discovered inductive logic (which is a basic foundation of all science) and also started discovering that there are some arguments that seem entirely logical, sounds logical – but simply isn’t. They just don’t prove anything. These arguments are called fallacies and they essentially reoccur in all debates and arguments over and over. Quite frankly they are a form of deception – often used deliberately but sometimes used out of ignorance. Knowing how to recognize them is a basic life skill. The use of a fallacy doesn’t prove an argument false, but it doesn’t prove it true either – in fact it ads no weight at all to it, and if there isn’t a better argument available it significantly reduces the trustworthiness of the argument. When an argument is justified on a fallacy – the best advice is to refuse to accept it unless better and truer evidence can be found.

The purpose of this post is to introduce you to some of the most common fallacies, and some of their most common uses around us – to hopefully allow you to spot some of them and not be deceived.

Ad hominem attack – The attack on the arguer.
This argument, despite being fallacious has become almost all of modern politics. The core of the fallacy comes in when your argument does not address your opponents points, but instead attacks the person you are arguing against. Essentially it’s a character attack – you try to convince the audience to reject your opponents argument because they shouldn’t like the other guy instead of considering whether his argument makes sense.
Julius Malema’s political rhetoric consists basically of nothing else but ad hominem attacks. He has never actually discussed whether policies make more sense than that of his opponents, what their historical success was or anything else to strengthen his arguments – he simply makes attacks on the character of his opponents. Every female politician whom he is in opposition to he accuses of sleeping around (that this sexist double-standard still influences people is shocking but we live in a society where apparently it does). That his accusations are generally unfounded and unproven is not the part we’re interested in though – it’s the fact that his accusations has nothing to do with politics or policy that make them fallacious.
Malema is a bit of an extreme example – but the reality is that virtually every political debate in the world today consists almost entirely of this fallacy and almost no discussion ever happens on whether the policies promoted actually make any sense. That this apparently wins elections is nothing short of tragic. In short, like it or not, I couldn’t care less who Jacob Zuma shagged last night – what should matter is whether his policies are good for the country or not, what his character is like has no influence on that question – and to suggest it does is a logical fallacy – a false argument.

Appeal to emotions.
This fallacy is a cornerstone of most marketing and much of politics. It consists of trying to trigger an emotional response in the audience to prevent them from actually considering the validity of your argument. When an insurance company shows you images of a happy family in a house being protected from some sort of tragedy, that’s a classic example. The advertisement tells us nothing about the quality of their service, the comparative value of their premiums or the level of their coverage. Instead it reminds us that we are at risk, triggers a fear response, reminds us that we love our families and want to protect them – then presents itself as a form of that protection, while this is indeed what they are selling, by getting our emotions involved they avoid ever actually discussing the relative merits of the protection they offer compared to their competitors. They hope that we’ll buy their product because we feel scared right now, that we’ll feel so scared we won’t risk taking the time to compare their product to other products in the market. This is one of the most deliberate and deciduous fallacies in the world today. Much of politics also revolve around this, a good example is the politician kissing a baby. Kissing a baby says nothing about the politician’s policies – it’s intended to make us feel affection for him as a person and vote based on that affection.

Argumentum ad consequentiam: Appeal to consequences.
This is a variant of the appeal to emotion but worthy of a separate mention. The core of the fallacy is to claim an argument is true or false based on whether the consequences of the argument is appealing or not. Most of the gay-marriage debate has consisted of this argument – at least from those opposed to it. Very little discussion has happened on the core of the pro-gay-marriage argument: that treating gay couples differently from heterosexual couples is discrimination.
Instead almost all the retorts are claims like “legalized gay marriage would destroy the foundations of society”. Whether this outcome is true or not, it’s a fallacy. It doesn’t answer the claim that preventing gay marriage is discrimination. Instead it assumes that it can’t be discrimination because it believes the consequences of it being discrimination (and correcting it) would be bad. That is bad logic, good logic requires you to address the argument made. If the argument is true – then you have to address it. If this has unwanted consequences, the best way of addressing those consequences is a separate argument entirely. In other words – we should be asking “if banning gay marriage is discrimination, and we make it legal, and it then has negative effects – how can we mitigate those effects ?” but we cannot use the claim of potential negative effects as evidence of whether gay marriage should be legal or not.

Appeal to authority.
This is a very common fallacy, it underlies much of religion and most of society in fact and it’s what frequently throughout history has pitted scientists against figures of authority. The heart of this fallacy is to claim that your argument is true because somebody else who is an authority said it is true. Sadly this even covers a significant portion of the legal system (much of legal precedent is based on “previous judges found” – and thus essentially assumes the truth of the argument based on the fact that those judges, authorities, agreed with it). In theory it isn’t quite that bad the idea is that you don’t have to repeat the argument every time when a previous judge has already ruled – unless you can present evidence that the previous judge did not have at his disposal. This and the appeal system is the legal system’s defense against being entirely run on this logical fallacy, but most of the rest of the world have no such defenses.
It occurs even among scientists, it’s one of the easiest fallacies to fall pray to. We assume that a figure of authority, or a specialist in the field knows more than we do – thus their conclusions are true, but their authority doesn’t mean they weren’t wrong, doesn’t mean they knew everything – the reason this is a fallacy is because it avoids whatever argument is presented and simply states that it cannot be true because a previous authority didn’t believe the conclusion. If we said that gravity works based on the square inverse law “because Newton said so” – we’re committing this fallacy, the fact is that gravity doesn’t work on the square inverse law, Einsteinian physics is essentially a description of why. Newtonian comes close enough for many practical uses but it’s just not true. If we had refused to accept Einstein’s research because of Newton’s position as a figure of scientific authority – most of the 20th century’s important discoveries could never have been made. In short, just because somebody is in charge – that doesn’t mean they are right. If it did, we wouldn’t need democracy. This fallacy is shockingly common in South African (and American) politics – how often has a politician declared “you cannot criticize the president because he is the president and to question him is unpatriotic) – that is the appeal to authority hard at work to deceive us.

Naturalistic fallacy.
Sadly despite how much I like the character of Gregory House for his love of reason- he commits this fallacy a few thousand times in every episode. The naturalistic fallacy is the assumption that things should be as they are. Much of the anti-evolution crowd’s arguments are naturalistic fallacies. Essentially saying “evolution can’t be true because it justifies people acting in some bad way” (bad way is often lust-fullness or animalistic behavior). This is the naturalistic fallacy. Evolution says humans are animals with animalistic basic urges. It doesn’t say we should act according to them. Science tells us how things are, it never says we can’t change them. In fact recognizing the source of something you don’t like better enables you to change them – denying the causes of things because you don’t like those things is an excercize in futility.
House commits this fallacy most obviously in “No more Mister Nice Guy” – he reasons that “niceness” is not an evolutionary survival trait – therefore it must be a symptom. Ultimately the episode proves him largely wrong – and he is wrong. Just because we didn’t evolve to be nice people – doesn’t mean we can’t be or shouldn’t be – knowing why we aren’t nice-by-default is useful knowledge that empowers us to act against our dangerous urges and act nice anyway (yes I know I’m using a fictional example – but it’s a very useful one because it’s so clear, we see the same argument all over all the time).

Straw man attack.
This is another very common fallacy. It is the fallacy of taking a part of the opponents argument out of context to form a weak argument then attacking this weak argument while ignoring the fact that the actual argument is valid. A common one in our society today centers around drug enforcement policy.
The basic debate goes like this:

A: We should legalize marijuana as it’s less addictive than many already-legal substances, relatively harmless and have known beneficial side-effects to health.

B: If we legalize drugs then society will collapse !

The point is that A never suggested legalizing all drugs (some people would but it wasn’t in this argument), she made a strong argument with factual premises. B never addressed any of them. B did not argue whether marijuana is relatively harmless, did not argue on whether it has health benefits and never debated that many legal substances such as alcohol, nicotine and caffeine are more addictive than marijuana. These premises may or may not be true but B didn’t address them at all – and usually doesn’t. B attacked a weakened form of A’s argument, which is only superficially similar (legalizing all drugs is a very different thing from legalizing one drug).
The marijuana debate world wide replays this scene over and over and every time B says it- it’s still a fallacy. The slippery-slope argument we so often hear is mostly a variant of the same fallacy. This version goes “we cannot allow X because it would lead inevitably to allowing Y and Z” where Y and Z are clearly unwanted results. In fact the slippery-slope argument is usually a straw-man fallacy – unless you actually prove that Y and Z really are inevitable consequences, even then it’s still often an appeal-to-consequences fallacy (fallacies often inter-mesh – making them harder to recognize – all the more reason to be vigilant if you wish to think critically for yourself).

Appeal to tradition.
This is one of the most pervasive and powerful fallacies in the world and forms a huge part of modern politics. The conservapedia website claims for example that the most important values of conservatives are “morals and tradition”. But the latter is a known fallacy. The fallacy essentially consists in it’s simplest form of saying “we’ve always done it this way/believed this – therefore it must be true”. Terry Pratchett regularly makes fun of it “ten thousand generations of dwarves couldn’t have been wrong, if it was wrong we wouldn’t have kept doing it all that time”. The implication is clear, another generation is about to repeat it unquestioningly based on the assumption that a previous one would have questioned it. The call to tradition is insidious, deceptive and incredibly dangerous because if there is one lesson printed throughout history it’s that “the way we always did it” is very rarely the right way.
Not long ago people defended slavery on the grounds that “slavery has been allowed for all of history” – making it’s ending take that much longer and cause several wars. Today hardly anybody thinks slavery was a good thing, but it was a human tradition for thousands of years, and long defended based on this fallacy. Nearly all of conservative politics today consists of this fallacy. It’s powerful because it soothes human’s natural fear of change. We want to believe the fallacy because it protects us from having to question the ideas we were raised with, provides a shelter from the changes in the world which we fear may harm us – the reality though is that it’s a paper-shelter that doesn’t protect us, it merely lets us hide from reality. It’s an ostrich-position that lets us hide our heads in the sand and cling to ideas that are provably false (even if they may have been true once in the past). Whenever tradition is brought up as an argument the only logical answer is to demand a better argument- proof that tradition wasn’t in fact wrong all along because it very often is.

This list and description is hardly exhaustive – Wikipedia has a much more complete list. This list instead is focused on those fallacies that we encounter daily on television, in the newspapers and in discussion -to help us recognize them and refuse to be tricked by them. So we can make clearer, more logical decisions. It is also based on fallacies we have simple, easy to recognize examples off – not abstract ones, things we hear daily to let us judge them better.

Since when does entering politics mean giving up your human rights ?

It’s not often I do two posts on the same day, let alone with radically different content, one a humorous parody of a band – and now a genuine serious
article on a matter of great importance to me. I suppose it’s just the way my mind works.

As the outcry over the President’s affair and subsequent fathering a child continous, I have lost whatever tiny smidgen of respect I once had for
Hellen Zille. Unlike most people who may make such a claim – I don’t support Zuma as a politician either however. I don’t think he should be the
president and I don’t think he should be re-elected. Unlike Zille however, my statements to this effect is based on critique of (many of) his policies
(and recognition of the correctness of others), his performance at the implementation of those policies and – most importantly – the fact that he
used weasel techniques and legal technicalities to avoid prosecution for the fraud charges he faced – instead of standing in a proper court. As the
accused he had the benefit of the doubt. He didn’t even have to prove his innocense, he’d walk away a free man with no controversy if they couldn’t prove
his guilt… when you have that kind of odds… and his kind of money… it’s pretty suspicious if you dodge the trial.

But none of this removes his rights as a citizen of the country. Privacy is not a negotiable matter. It’s a basic human right. Like free speech, free labour,
free thought, free association… but then I have never really believed that Zille believes in any of these things. Let’s be clear about this, the DA’s
policies are about as liberal as Rush Limbaugh painted pink… purely skin-deep and even that facade is filled with cracks.
They do not, because most of their voters do not, really believe in these human rights. Like all concervatives they think “I have these rights, and you
can have them too – just as long as you only use them to do and say what I agree with.”
The difference can be summed up like this: concervatives and liberals both claim to believe in freedom of religion. But a liberal means “let anybody have
the right to believe what they want”, a concervative means “let me have the right to force my particular brand of religion on all of society without
restriction”.

Now wrap all that up in a politician and you get Zille’s opportunistic grab at the news headline that Zuma had a child out of wedlock. Zuma rightfully
points out that his sex life is a private matter (and what, in this world is more private than that ?)… and she claims he doesn’t have a right to privacy
about his sex life because other people look to him for examples.
Sorry – reporting his sex life in the newspapers should not be tolerated. Free press does not mean the right to privacy goes away. It means they can
report in the public interest without restriction. Who any particular person fucks is never in the public interest to know… sorry, I can’t think of a
single example where an individuals right to privacy would not outweigh this need. If he was caught with an underaged girl that would be another matter
because now the legality of his private actions are at stake. But sex between consenting adults is a private matter… end of story – there can be
no debate about this – if you start making exceptions on things like this… very soon – none of us will have any privacy.

Think it can’t happen ? We lived in that world not long ago. Remember the puritans ? The victorians ? The latter is barely a century ago –
in what was already a liberal nation! Just 25 years ago, here in South Africa, the government decided that sex with somebody of a different race was
immoral, and forbade mariages between them as a little bonus. Technically it was sex-out-of-wedlock that was illegal, but it would only apply if that
sex happened where wedlock was prohibited. Their morality (which I’m sure Zille would publicly claim not to agree with) came to be a law that caused some of
the greatest hardships in this country.
My fathers generation saw four brothers who all grew up supporting appartheid all become opposed to it during their lifetimes via various routes. For one
of my uncles – the heart of that opposition came about when he was a young prosecutor working in a magistrates court and watching case after case of
people’s lives being destroyed for falling in love with somebody they weren’t allowed to.

Because the people in power had decided that their personal morality should have the force of law.

Fundamental to the democracy we built after 1994 is the basic premise that individual human rights are sacrosanct. That personal choice is a right and
we do not have to conform with every idea of society – even the popular ones. Whether I agree with Zuma’s behavior or not is irellevent. The fact that
I know about it without his deciding to tell me himself is however a basic violation of his rights. This attempt to attack him based on his personal
moral and cultural values and for how they do not comply with those of the conservatives who vote for the DA is nothing but outrageous.

None of the excuses bandied about for why his behaviour should be decried hold any water. We’re told we should violate his privacy and complain because
he is an example to the youth who follow his lead. Nevermind that actual research shows this just isn’t true (at least off sexual behaviour)… the fact is
if his rights had not been violated in the first place- the youth would never have known what his behaviour actually was !
Saying he is a role model who should live by a higher standard is one thing – demanding that to be YOUR higher standard is quite another. Zuma is acting
as a perfect role model for the values he believes in. You may question those values, this is our constitutional right, but you may not force him to accept
yours. That’s the law.

This is a secular nation now – with good reason. Because we felt in severe suffering the results of letting morality and religion have the force of law very
recently. Believe what you will, express your beliefs but do not enforce them on others. You may not like Zuma having four wives and an affair – but nobody
is forcing you to do the same, and you can’t force him not to.
Whatever else it may be, it’s not a political issue by any means. You aren’t supposed to pick a politician who agrees with your morals, you’re supposed to
pick a politician just liked you’d hire a staff member. Based on his fitness for the job at hand. We don’t get to ask potential staff members their sexual
preference – the law has seen fit to protect people’s privacy in that regard – why should we get to ask a politician if he believes in polygamy or not ?

It’s probably discriminatory that polygamy is only legal if you ethnically belong to one of the cultures where it has always been tradition, it should be
allowed or banned across the board – but then I don’t believe in giving cultures special treatment – that is what discrimination means. The fact is though,
Zuma has not – in this instance, broken any of the laws of this country. His actions are perfectly within his rights as a citizen of this nation.
That fact that his job is public doesn’t mean his life is. By that logic so is the lives of every other public servant as well. Do you think we have
the right to know if a postal worker is gay or not ? Nor do we have the right to know the sexual activities and preferences of politicians unless they
choose too tell us.
I don’t believe in censorship – but preventing a newspaper (also known as a corporate entity – e.g. NOT a human being anyway) from profiting
from the violation of human rights is not censorship – it’s PROTECTING free speech. Court decisions here and abroad has consistently found that the
sex lives of celebrities are not news in the public interest. A politician is nothing but a celebrity postal worker and should enjoy the same protection of
his rights.
The fact that Zille is jumping up and down screaming “adultering polygamist” while people in her province are starving to death is the very peak of
self-righteous political hipocricy that has caused the terrible state that the world is in today.
It’s one thing for Hayibo to joke about her Botox treatments, it would be quite another for them to steal her medical records to prove their jokes.

Mathilosophy – why your life matters.

I have written many posts on philosophy over the years, today however, I felt like taking a different approach to the old problem. Where do we fit in history ? Does the actions of a single individual really make a difference ? What about long after we’re dead ? Well… maybe we can calculate that using mathematics.

Of course, since I’m not writing a PHD paper here, I’ll be using a few (fair) assumptions, which can be questioned, but I believe that – for the vast majority of cases, my postulation will stand up to scrutiny.

So let’s first think of how we might calculate the actual impact a person may have had on history, as measured at any given point. Let’s call our hypothetical person: Sarah. How much impact did Sarah have on the world ? Well, one way to estimate that would be to find out, at any given moment: how many people alive right now wishes Sarah had never died (or if she’s still alive, that she’d remain so forever), call this value (A). Then, we subtract the number of people who wishes she had never been born (call this B). For most people – the values of both these would be at their highest either sometime during their lives when they do something most impactful – or right after their deaths. With each passing year, both A and B will decrease – as people die and forget, some will tell their children though – so the decrease isn’t absolute.

If we say that Y starts as A-B, and Time is X, then, since there is direct inverse proportion between X and Y (over time the number of people who have any opinion at all of Sarah’s life reduces) there is a very standard function that we can plot here: Y=1/X – the function for an inverse proportion. But this function, by itself, does not consider the case where B is bigger than A. That function has the starting value of Y as a negative amount. So we should plot that with the function:
Y=-1/X (which is the direct polar opposite graph).
So the graph of peoples impact on the world is pretty much always somewhere on these lines:
mathilosophy1

The Red line shows us the impact of a person who had a high starting value for A and a low starting value for B. The green line shows us a high B and a low A person.
If we use today as a the value of X, then right noow Ghandi and Nelson Mandela is probably right at the very top of the Red line at this moment. Hitler would be near the very bottom of the green line. George Busch and HF Verwoerd just a little higher on the same line.
With each passing day though – the lines get smaller, no matter how far away from zero your line starts – it always approaches it on a long enough timeline. Today – even though almost all of us still know the name of Alexander the Great, hardly anybody really has an opinion on whether we’re glad he lived anymore… yet a few of us do (historians mostly, trying to work out if his impact on history ultimately benefited mankind or not).
The point is though – for no life, no matter how big or small it starts out as – on this function – ever reaches zero. The only way that could happen, is if it starts at zero. Which is pretty much only possible if you were an orphan who became a hermit at the age of 6.
So your life has an impact that spreads throughout the entirety of history from the moment you were born onwards. The impact of your actions influences the world. The influence could be small or big, but it’s never non-existent. And over time, the impact dimishes, but it never goes away. Hitler may not be putting anybody in concentration camps anymore, but the fact that he once did radically changed the world and we still live in many of those changes.
Your life matters. If your life has a largely positive effect on the people around you – the remnants of that effect will last until the end of time, ditto if you had a largely negative effect.
We have very little opportunity to change the size of A and B (though we call get a few), but we sure can determine whether A is bigger than B or not… in other words, you can choose if your line in history is green or red – and the choice matters, because the line never, ever gets to zero.